Are we at the peak of interest rates? Or will they move again?

News
December 10, 2024

Interest rates in Australia are expected to remain stable in the short term, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) indicating that the current cash rate has likely peaked in late 2024.

Since May 2022 to November 2023, we have seen 13 increases.

Market predictions suggest a possible reduction in rates starting mid-2025, gradually lowering to approximately 3.5% by the end of 2026. This anticipated decline is tied to improving inflation conditions, stabilising economic growth, and easing pressures on households and businesses.

How does this affect me?

With an official cash rate of 3.5% this would see investor rates drop by 0.85% saving the average investor that has a $600,000 mortgage $330 per month.

The big four bank economic teams are predicting:

  • CBA: Peak of 4.35% in November 2023, then dropping to 3.35% by December 2025
  • Westpac: Peak of 4.35% in November 2023, then dropping to 3.35% by December 2025
  • NAB: Peak of 4.35% in November 2023, then dropping to 3.10% by June 2026
  • ANZ: Peak of 4.35% in November 2023, then dropping to 3.60% by December 2025

Keep in mind, these are subject to change based on quarterly reports.

Did you know?

When rates start to drop your Lender will not automatically reduce your repayments.

You will need to adjust this yourself each month we experience a rate drop.

Any advice contained in this article is of a general nature only and does not take into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. Therefore, before making any decision, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice with regard to those matters. Information in this article is correct as of the date of publication and is subject to change.